2015-09-14

Socionomics Alert: Australia Dumps Another Sitting Prime Minister

This says everything about current social mood in Australia:
Mr Abbott served as prime minister for almost two years, losing the leadership just four days shy of marking his second anniversary in office.

His term in office is also now the 10th-shortest of any Australian prime minister and shorter than those of recent Labor leaders Kevin Rudd and Julia Gillard.
PM Rudd was ousted in 2010 as the ruling Labor party feared losing the upcoming election. Conditions are the same this year: Early election? We're already seeing the familiar rituals

The public is in a negative mood and political leaders get the blame. With the trend moving in the wrong direction, the best position to be in politics is on the outside, as evidenced by the Republican and Democratic primaries in the United States, where outsiders (literal outsiders or ideological outsiders in the case of Sanders) are sitting atop the polls in both parties.

Australia gets new PM as Abbott loses out to rival Turnbull
Australia will get its fifth prime minister in eight years after the ruling Liberal Party on Monday voted out Tony Abbott in favour of longtime rival Malcolm Turnbull, following months of infighting and crumbling voter support.

Turnbull, a multi-millionaire former tech entrepreneur, won a secret party vote by 54 to 44, Liberal Party chief whip Scott Buchholz told reporters after the meeting in Canberra.

Foreign Minister Julie Bishop was elected deputy leader of the party which, with junior coalition partner the National Party, won a landslide election in 2013.

...Rudd, elected with a strong mandate in 2007, was deposed by his deputy, Julia Gillard, in 2010 amid the same sort of poll numbers that Abbott is now facing. Gillard was in turn deposed by Rudd ahead of elections won by Abbott in 2013.

Abbott has now become the shortest reigning first-term prime minister to be overthrown, Rod Tiffen, an emeritus professor of political science at the University of Sydney, told Reuters.

"It's pretty amazing to think that we will have had two prime ministers overthrown in their first terms, which hasn't happened since World War Two. This shows the degree of instability within parties that we now have," he said.
It has everything to do with social mood. Politicians who try to go along with business as usual, which works during peak social mood, will lose. Those who accept the mood is against them, or turn it to their advantage like Orban in Hungary, will find much greater success.

No comments:

Post a Comment