2013-07-06

Obama's Failed Foreign Policy: He Should Have Studied Socionomics

Unless the Obama Administration has a double secret strategy to set off sectarian violence across the Middle East in a grand Iran-Iraq War strategy (Kissinger reportedly quipped, "My only regret is that only one of these two countries can lose the war"), it's foreign policy is a total failure.

Anti-Americanism flares in Egypt as protests rage over Morsi's ouster

Usually one needs to read an article, but it's enough to read the one sentence summary:
Both pro-Morsi Islamists and the anti-Morsi Rebel group accuse the U.S. of supporting the other and allege elaborate conspiracies against Egypt.
I can't think of a prior time when a U.S. president managed to anger both sides in a civil war. Of course the non-interventionists will point out the best strategy is to stay out, but even if one decides to pick a side, it usually helps to pick a winning side or at least the side that aligns with your own nation's foreign policy. Instead, Obama sided with the regime that brought Israeli's and Arab's together—in agreement that this regime should go. Now he's left with no position in Egypt, a key country in the Middle East with one of the largest armies in the region.

Had President Obama studied social mood, he would have known that Egypt was a long way from peace and the current regime was unlikely to last in office, or if it did survive, it would resort to the same anti-democratic policies of the prior government.

It does not bode well for the rest of Obama's second term that the same social mood tearing apart Egypt will also fray the political bonds in the United States. If, as some of his critics argue, he is a foreigner in America (even those who do not challenge his birth location believe his time overseas changed his perception and understanding of America to that of a foreign viewpoint), then it is very possible he will come to be "hated" by all Americans. One can see some strains of this possibility in Obama's decision to delay Obamacare. If it is permanently delayed, he will no doubt anger Democrats who in some cases risked their political careers to ensure its passage.

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