What if the government/Fed realized the most efficient way right now to "print" dollars and "reflate" the economy was to get stock prices up? What better way to do that than print dollars to buy stocks?
There's ancillary evidence that stocks are acting "artificial". Stocks aren't only climbing a wall of worry, they're scaling the Mt. Everest of bad fundamentals. Tick data is extreme, especially when the stock market is down. We constantly see 1000+ tick prints when stocks are down; this is very strange indeed. Volumes are down at least 20% from normal levels (and much more if you discount for high-frequency trading), making it easier to get stocks up.
Under TARP, the fine print allows dealers to REPO stocks to the Fed as collateral (holy cow is right).
What if there were an arrangement where large dealers buy stocks and stock futures through the day and REPO them to the Fed at the high closing prices? The dealer would book the profits derived from the difference at no risk.
If you look at the trading patterns of the largest dealers, one in particular lost money trading in only one day last quarter. Statistically that's like finding a needle at the bottom of the ocean.
中国广东暴雨持续 深圳发暴雨“红色警报”
-
中国南部人口密度高、经济发达的珠江三角洲地区因连日持续的创纪录降雨,使当地一些城市遭受洪灾。 路透社报道说,自 […]...
No comments:
Post a Comment